Super Bowl Betting

Patriots Favored for Super Bowl LII; Packers, Cowboys Gaining

In today’s NFL, there are the New England Patriots, and there’s everybody else. After shocking the world with their historic comeback at Super Bowl LI, the Patriots opened as +450 favorites on the futures market for Super Bowl LII. Then New England moved all the way to +350 by May 1, miles ahead of five teams tied at +1200.

Those teams are already starting to close the gap. At press time, the Patriots have fallen back to +375 on the NFL odds list, while the Green Bay Packers (+900) and Dallas Cowboys (+1000) have shortened their Super Bowl odds. All three have legions of fans willing to support them through thick and thin. But do the NFC’s top contenders have what it takes to compete with the defending champions?

 

19-0?

Believe it or not, this year’s Patriots might be better than the 2016 model, which went 14-2 SU and 13-3 ATS during the regular season despite Tom Brady missing the first four games. New England is “only” looking at a win total of 12.5 games (over –135) this season, but having Brady under center from Day 1 should help, and he’ll have two shiny new targets to throw at: WR Brandin Cooks (formerly with New Orleans) and TE Dwayne Allen (formerly with Indianapolis).

Despite New England’s success, they’ve lost some of their online betting support over the political connections of owner Robert Kraft, not to mention the Deflategate scandal that cost Brady the first four games of the 2016 campaign. Many of those fans are hopping on board the Packers bandwagon. Green Bay (10-6 SU, 9-6-1 ATS last season) could use some help on the offensive line, though, as they prepare for their 99th season of football.

The Cowboys (13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS last season) have enjoyed one of the top offensive lines in the NFL the past four seasons, but even they have some question marks following the departures of tackle Doug Free (retired) and guard Ronald Leary (now with Denver). Their absence could make life difficult for last season’s rookie saviors, QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliott. The betting public already expects Dallas to fall back this year; the Cowboys have a win total of 9.5 (over –140), while Green Bay is holding steady at 10 wins (over –150). Is this really the best the NFC has to offer? If so, the Patriots might be  well on their way to their sixth Super Bowl ring.

 


*Odds as of June 14, 2017