Wounded Patriots Still on Top for Super Bowl LI
The New England Patriots are in a war of attrition. Their quest for a fifth Super Bowl ring hinges on good health, and after last week's injury news, the Patriots have fallen from +240 to +290 on the Super Bowl LI futures market. They're still the favorites, but New England was available for as low as +200 just a month ago.
The biggest concern is at tight end, where Rob Gronkowski (25 catches, three touchdowns in six games) was ruled out for the season with a herniated disc. Things got worse when wide receiver Danny Amendola (23 catches, four touchdowns) suffered a high-ankle sprain in Sunday's 26-10 victory over the Los Angeles Rams; he's expected to sit out until the playoffs, depriving the Patriots of their best return man on special teams.
Despite the set-back, the Patriots (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) will almost certainly make the playoffs. As we go to press, only one NFL team has officially clinched a berth in the postseason: the Dallas Cowboys (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS). Dallas moved from +400 to +350 on the Super Bowl odds list after last week's 17-15 win over the Minnesota Vikings, securing at least a Wild Card in the NFC.
The Seattle Seahawks (8-3-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) also saw their Super Bowl LI odds improve from +750 to +525 after humiliating the Carolina Panthers 40-7. However, it was a bittersweet win for the Seahawks, as free safety Earl Thomas is out for the year with a broken leg. This is a considerable blow to Seattle's title chances; back-up safety Steven Terrell will make just his second career start this Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX) when the 'Hawks visit the Green Bay Packers.
Green Bay (6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) are one of four clubs tied as +2500 outsiders to win the Super Bowl, but their chances of making the playoffs are rather slim. The Packers are two games behind the Detroit Lions (8-4 SU and ATS) in the NFC North race, with Detroit also priced at +2500. The three teams ahead of Green Bay in the Wild Card hunt all have worse title odds than the Packers.
Here are the current top 11 teams (including ties) on the Super Bowl futures:
|New England Patriots||+290|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+1400|
|Green Bay Packers||+2500|
*Odds as of December 7, 2016