Super Bowl Betting

Patriots, Other Favorites Tighten Grip on Super Bowl 51 Futures

There usually isn’t much drama in the Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs. The teams that won their division tend to prevail, and almost half these games are decided by two touchdowns or more. That’s pretty much how things went down last week; the home teams went 4-0 SU and ATS, with 13 points the smallest margin of victory.

The Super Bowl 51 futures market hasn’t changed much, either. Three of the four biggest long shots at +6600 have been eliminated: the Oakland Raiders, Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins. The New York Giants (+1400) are also off the market, but that was expected, too – they were playing against the hottest team in the NFL, the Green Bay Packers. As a result, most of the top favorites on the Super Bowl odds list have moved up, including the No. 1 New England Patriots, who climbed from +190 to +180.

Bettors tend to focus on recent events, so the teams that won their Wild Card games have all seen their title odds shorten. The Packers have strengthened their grip on third place, moving from +700 to +550 after downing the Giants to make it seven wins in a row. The Pittsburgh Steelers are up from +800 to +725 after dominating Miami, and the Seattle Seahawks are back on the good foot after throwing a wet blanket on the Lions, making the leap from +1400 to +900.

Even the Houston Texans have seen their Super Bowl odds improve. Granted, they’re still at the bottom of the list at +5000, with a difficult road game coming up this Saturday (8:15 PM ET, CBS) against a fresh Patriots team in the Divisional Round. But the Texans were +6600 last week, and Brock Osweiler did have a decent game against Oakland – even if the Raiders were down to their third-string quarterback, rookie Connor Cook.

Meanwhile, the other teams that were idle during Wild Card Weekend have been somewhat overlooked. The Atlanta Falcons did move from +950 to +800, but the Kansas City Chiefs are still +900, and the Dallas Cowboys have dropped from +400 to +475; they’ll host the popular Packers this Sunday (4:40 PM ET, FOX).
 

Here’s how the Super Bowl futures market looked at press time:

New England Patriots +180
Dallas Cowboys +475
Green Bay Packers +550
Pittsburgh Steelers +725
Atlanta Falcons +800
Seattle Seahawks +900
Kansas City Chiefs +900
Houston Texans +5000



*Odds as of January 11, 2017