NFL Football Betting

NFL Week 7 Betting Preview

The New England Patriots are back on top of the AFC East. It took them six weeks to do it, but the defending Super Bowl champions are once again leading their division at 4-2 after back-to-back wins on the road. But the 2017 Patriots haven’t come close to matching last year’s performance level. They’re 2-4 ATS heading into Week 7, and they’ve got a highly motivated opponent in the Atlanta Falcons (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS), who are looking for revenge after letting New England come back from the dead at Super Bowl LI. It’s this week’s featured matchup on Sunday Night Football (8:30 PM ET, NBC); at press time, the Patriots are 3-point home favorites on the NFL odds board with a total of 55.

The Patriots are still +400 favorites to defend their title, and they’ve still got one of the best offenses in the league with quarterback Tom Brady; however, this is also the worst defense in the NFL after six weeks. The Falcons, meanwhile, are piling up points with reigning MVP Matt Ryan at quarterback. This should be a high-scoring affair given Atlanta’s own defensive weaknesses, and the weather in Foxborough has been unusually pleasant for this time of year – there isn’t any rain in the forecast until Tuesday. No wonder this is the highest total on the Week 7 NFL betting lines.
 

Rodgers Out for Packers

New England almost dropped to second on the Super Bowl futures market, but the Green Bay Packers (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) fell off the map after quarterback Aaron Rodgers broke his collarbone in last week’s loss to the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers will give former UCLA star Brett Hundley the nod this Sunday when they host the New Orleans Saints (3-2 SU and ATS), who are riding a three-game winning streak into Lambeau Field. Game time is 1 PM ET on FOX, with Green Bay checking in as a 6-point underdog.

The Dallas Cowboys (2-3 SU and ATS) were briefly second favorites to New England during the preseason, before the league suspended running back Ezekiel Elliott for six games. But Elliott’s suspension keeps getting put on hold; on Tuesday, he got a second temporary restraining order, allowing him to suit up for Sunday’s game against the San Francisco 49ers (0-6 SU, 4-2 ATS). The Cowboys opened as 6-point road favorites, but the NFL lines could definitely shift by the time they kick off at 4:05 PM ET on FOX.
 

Steelers Ascending

At one point, it looked like the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1 SU and ATS) would overtake New England on the Super Bowl LII futures odds. But the Chiefs took their first loss of 2017 last week, and they don’t have much time to prepare for Thursday night’s matchup with the Oakland Raiders (2-4 SU and ATS), who have quarterback Derek Carr back under center after a one-week absence. CBS has the coverage starting at 8:25 ET, with Kansas City laying three points on the road.

The new No. 2 team on the Super Bowl odds list, albeit a distant second at +700, is the team that beat the Chiefs: the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS). They’ve got an important AFC North battle coming up Sunday afternoon with the Cincinnati Bengals (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS), winners of back-to-back games straight up and against the spread. The Steelers are 5.5-point home favorites at press time, as they were at the open; the action gets underway at 4:25 PM ET on CBS.
 

NY Giants On a Roll?

In theory, the Seattle Seahawks (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) are in a strong position to take advantage of all this chaos. They have a very winnable game this Sunday against the New York Giants (1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS), starting at 4:25 PM ET on CBS, and the Seahawks are coming off the bye week as 5.5-point road favorites. But their offensive line is a mess, and the G-Men upset the Denver Broncos (–14 at home) last week despite missing four of their wide receivers.

Sharp handicappers were looking at the Philadelphia Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) as a potential Super Bowl dark horse this offseason, and sure enough, the Eagles are tied with Kansas City as +850 third-favorites. They’ll wrap up Week 7 with a compelling NFC East matchup against Washington (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) on Monday Night Football, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN. Philadelphia is favored by 4.5 points, down from –5 at the open, with the total holding firm at 48.5.

 

*Odds as of October 18, 2017